Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2110791
 


 



The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote


Robert S. Erikson


Columbia University - Department of Political Science

Christopher Wlezien


University of Texas at Austin

2012

APSA 2012 Annual Meeting Paper

Abstract:     
This paper discusses ways of predicting presidential elections from the economy and trial heat polls. A prediction is offered based on trial heat polls and the cumulative leading economic indicators as of the first quarter of 2012.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 18

Keywords: prediction, voting, economy, elections

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Date posted: July 17, 2012 ; Last revised: September 4, 2012

Suggested Citation

Erikson, Robert S. and Wlezien, Christopher, The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote (2012). APSA 2012 Annual Meeting Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2110791

Contact Information

Robert S. Erikson (Contact Author)
Columbia University - Department of Political Science ( email )
MC3320
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
United States
212-854-0036 (Phone)
Christopher Wlezien
University of Texas at Austin ( email )
Austin, TX 78712
United States
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