The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote
Robert S. Erikson
Columbia University - Department of Political Science
APSA 2012 Annual Meeting Paper
This paper discusses ways of predicting presidential elections from the economy and trial heat polls. A prediction is offered based on trial heat polls and the cumulative leading economic indicators as of the first quarter of 2012.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 18
Keywords: prediction, voting, economy, electionsworking papers series
Date posted: July 17, 2012 ; Last revised: September 4, 2012
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