Abstract

 


 



Decoupling Markets and Individuals: Rational Expectations Equilibrium Outcomes from Information Dissemination Among Boundedly-Rational Traders


Karim Jamal


University of Alberta - Department of Accounting, Operations & Information Systems

Michael S. Maier


University of Alberta - Department of Accounting, Operations and Information Systems

Shyam Sunder


Yale University - School of Management

July 30, 2012

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1868

Abstract:     
Attainment of rational expectations equilibria in asset markets calls for the price system to disseminate traders’ private information to others. It is known that markets populated by asymmetrically-informed profit-motivated human traders can converge to rational expectations equilibria. This paper reports comparable market outcomes when human traders are replaced by boundedly-rational algorithmic agents who use a simple means - end heuristic. These algorithmic agents lack the capability to optimize; yet outcomes of markets populated by them converge near the equilibrium derived from optimization assumptions. These findings suggest that market structure is an important determinant of efficient aggregate level outcomes, and that care is necessary not to overstate the importance of human cognition and conscious optimization in such contexts.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 31

Keywords: Bounded rationality, Dissemination of asymmetric information, Efficiency of security markets, Minimally-rational agents, Rational expectations, Structural properties of markets

JEL Classification: C92, D44, D50, D70, D82, G14

working papers series


Download This Paper

Date posted: August 1, 2012 ; Last revised: January 27, 2013

Suggested Citation

Jamal, Karim, Maier, Michael S. and Sunder, Shyam, Decoupling Markets and Individuals: Rational Expectations Equilibrium Outcomes from Information Dissemination Among Boundedly-Rational Traders (July 30, 2012). Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1868. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2120019 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2120019

Contact Information

Karim Jamal
University of Alberta - Department of Accounting, Operations & Information Systems ( email )
Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2R6
Canada
780-492-5829 (Phone)
780-492-3325 (Fax)

Michael Maier
University of Alberta - Department of Accounting, Operations and Information Systems ( email )
3-40G Business Building
Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2R6
Canada
7802481275 (Phone)

Shyam Sunder (Contact Author)
Yale University - School of Management ( email )
135 Prospect Street
P.O. Box 208200
New Haven, CT 06520-8200
United States
203-432-6160 (Phone)
203-432-6974 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.som.yale.edu/faculty/sunder/
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


Paper statistics
Abstract Views: 264
Downloads: 48

© 2013 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.  FAQ   Terms of Use   Privacy Policy   Copyright
This page was processed by apollo2 in 0.516 seconds