Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2126478
 
 

References (24)



 


 



The Trend is Our Friend: Risk Parity, Momentum and Trend Following in Global Asset Allocation


Andrew Clare


City University London - Sir John Cass Business School

James Seaton


City University London - Sir John Cass Business School

Peter N. Smith


University of York - Department of Economics and Related Studies; Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)

Steve Thomas


City University London - Sir John Cass Business School

July 31st, 2015


Abstract:     
We examine the effectiveness of applying a trend following methodology to global asset allocation between equities, bonds, commodities and real estate. The application of trend following offers a substantial improvement in risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional buy-and-hold portfolios. We also find it to be a superior method of asset allocation than risk parity. We believe the discipline of trend following overcomes many of the behavioural biases investors succumb to, such as regret and herding. The other side of behavioural biases is that they may be exploited by investors: the clearest example of this is momentum investing where herding leads to continuation of returns and has been identified across many asset classes. Also, momentum and trend following have often been used interchangeably although the former is a relative concept and the latter absolute. By combining the two we find that one can achieve the higher return levels associated with momentum portfolios but with much reduced volatility and drawdowns due to trend following. We compare the performance of selected strategies using measures based on the utility function of a representative investor. These results reinforce the superiority of combining trend following with momentum strategies. We observe that a flexible asset allocation strategy that allocates capital to the best performing instruments irrespective of asset class enhances this further.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 42

Keywords: Risk parity, trend following,bhavioral finance, momentum, global asset allocation, equities, bonds, real estate, commodities

JEL Classification: G10,11,12


Open PDF in Browser Download This Paper

Date posted: August 8, 2012 ; Last revised: August 27, 2015

Suggested Citation

Clare, Andrew and Seaton, James and Smith, Peter N. and Thomas, Steve, The Trend is Our Friend: Risk Parity, Momentum and Trend Following in Global Asset Allocation (July 31st, 2015). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2126478 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2126478

Contact Information

Andrew D. Clare
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School ( email )
106 Bunhill Row
London, EC1Y 8TZ
United Kingdom
James Seaton
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School ( email )
106 Bunhill Row
London, EC1Y 8TZ
United Kingdom
Peter N. Smith
University of York - Department of Economics and Related Studies ( email )
Heslington
York 010 5DD
United Kingdom
+44 1904 433 765 (Phone)
+44 1904 433 759 (Fax)
Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) ( email )
ANU College of Business and Economics
Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 0200
Australia
Stephen H. Thomas (Contact Author)
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School ( email )
106 Bunhill Row
London, EC1Y 8TZ
United Kingdom
+44 (0) 20 7040 5271 (Phone)
+44 (0) 20 7040 8881 (Fax)
Feedback to SSRN


Paper statistics
Abstract Views: 22,907
Downloads: 6,985
Download Rank: 382
References:  24

© 2015 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.  FAQ   Terms of Use   Privacy Policy   Copyright   Contact Us
This page was processed by apollo6 in 0.250 seconds