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The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change RisksDan M. KahanYale University - Law School; Harvard University - Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics Ellen PetersOhio State University - Psychology Department; Decision Research; University of Oregon Maggie WittlinYale University - Law School Paul SlovicDecision Research; University of Oregon - Department of Psychology Lisa Larrimore OuelletteYale Law School Information Society Project Donald BramanGeorge Washington University - Law School; Cultural Cognition Project Gregory N. MandelTemple University - James E. Beasley School of Law December 23, 2012 Nature Climate Change, Vol. 2, pp. 732-735, 2012 Temple University Legal Studies Research Paper No. 2013-04 Yale Law & Economics Research Paper No. 464 Yale Law School, Public Law Working Paper No. 278 Abstract: Seeming public apathy over climate change is often attributed to a deficit in comprehension. The public knows too little science, it is claimed, to understand the evidence or avoid being misled. Widespread limits on technical reasoning aggravate the problem by forcing citizens to use unreliable cognitive heuristics to assess risk. An empirical study found no support for this position. Members of the public with the highest degrees of science literacy and technical reasoning capacity were not the most concerned about climate change. Rather, they were the ones among whom cultural polarization was greatest. This result suggests that public divisions over climate change stem not from the public’s incomprehension of science but from a distinctive conflict of interest: between the personal interest individuals have in forming beliefs in line with those held by others with whom they share close ties and the collective one they all share in making use of the best available science to promote common welfare.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 31 Keywords: climate change, cultural cognition, heuristics, science literacy Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: December 23, 2012 ; Last revised: April 16, 2013Suggested CitationContact Information
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