Absolute Momentum: A Simple Rule-Based Strategy and Universal Trend-Following Overlay

33 Pages Posted: 4 Apr 2013 Last revised: 13 Jun 2015

See all articles by Gary Antonacci

Gary Antonacci

Portfolio Management Consultants

Date Written: April 2013

Abstract

There is a considerable body of research on relative strength price momentum but much less on absolute momentum, also known as time series momentum. In this paper, we explore the practical side of absolute momentum. We first explore its sole parameter - the formation, or look back, period. We then examine the reward, risk, and correlation characteristics of absolute momentum applied to stocks, bonds, and real assets. We finally apply absolute momentum to a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio and a simple risk parity portfolio. We show that absolute momentum can effectively identify regime change and add significant value as an easy-to-implement, rule-based approach with many potential uses as both a stand-alone program and trend-following overlay.

Keywords: momentum, momentum investing, tactical asset allocation, technical analysis, trading rules

JEL Classification: C10, C22, G10, G11, G14

Suggested Citation

Antonacci, Gary, Absolute Momentum: A Simple Rule-Based Strategy and Universal Trend-Following Overlay (April 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2244633 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2244633

Gary Antonacci (Contact Author)

Portfolio Management Consultants ( email )

United States

HOME PAGE: http://optimalmomentum.com

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