Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2262954
 


 



The Geography of Racial Stereotyping: Evidence and Implications for VRA Preclearance After Shelby County


Christopher S. Elmendorf


University of California, Davis - School of Law

Douglas M. Spencer


University of Connecticut, School of Law

July 29, 2013

102 CAL. L. REV. ___ (2014, Forthcoming)
UC Davis Legal Studies Research Paper No. 339

Abstract:     
The Supreme Court in Shelby County v. Holder (2013) effectively enjoined the preclearance regime of the Voting Rights Act. The Court deemed the coverage formula, which determines the jurisdictions subject to preclearance, insufficiently grounded in current conditions. This paper proposes a new, legally defensible coverage approach based on between-state differences in the proportion of voting age citizens who subscribe to negative stereotypes about racial minorities and vote accordingly. The new coverage formula could also account for racially polarized voting and minority population size, but, for constitutional reasons, subjective discrimination by voters is the essential criterion. We demonstrate that the racial-stereotyping, polarized-voting, and population-size criteria would yield similar patterns of coverage, at least with respect to African Americans, and we show, ironically, that the new pattern of coverage would coincide with historic coverage under the "outdated" formula invalidated by Shelby County. Recently developed statistical techniques permit the new coverage formula to be further refined based on estimates of racial stereotyping within sub-state geographic units, such as cities and counties. We suggest that Congress establish default rules for coverage based on our state-level results, and delegate authority to make sub-state coverage determinations to an administrative agency, along with other responsibilities for keeping the coverage formula up to date. Finally, we show that if Congress does not act, the courts could use our results to reestablish coverage in a number of states, entering much broader "bail in" remedies for constitutional violations than would otherwise be justified.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 58

Keywords: race, discrimination, prejudice, stereotypes, voter, voting, states, counties, Voting Rights Act, Section 2, Section 5, MRP

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Date posted: May 11, 2013 ; Last revised: September 7, 2013

Suggested Citation

Elmendorf, Christopher S. and Spencer, Douglas M., The Geography of Racial Stereotyping: Evidence and Implications for VRA Preclearance After Shelby County (July 29, 2013). 102 CAL. L. REV. ___ (2014, Forthcoming); UC Davis Legal Studies Research Paper No. 339. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2262954 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2262954

Contact Information

Christopher S. Elmendorf (Contact Author)
University of California, Davis - School of Law ( email )
Martin Luther King, Jr. Hall
Davis, CA 95616-5201
United States
530-752-5756 (Phone)
530-753-5311 (Fax)
Douglas M. Spencer
University of Connecticut, School of Law ( email )
65 Elizabeth Street
Hartford, CT 06105
United States
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