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Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in Gnp


Yin-Wong Cheung


City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance; University of California at Santa Cruz - Department of Economics

Menzie David Chinn


University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

November 1996

NBER Working Paper No. t0206

Abstract:     
A more powerful version of the ADF test and a test that has trend stationarity as the null are applied to U.S. GNP. Simulated critical values generated from plausible trend and difference stationary models are used in order to minimize possible finite sample biases. The discriminatory power of the two tests is evaluated using alternative-specific rejection frequencies. For post-War quarterly data, these two tests do not provide a definite conclusion. However, when analyzing annual data over the 1869-1986 period, the unit root null is rejected, while the trend stationary null is not.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 26

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Date posted: September 1, 2000  

Suggested Citation

Cheung, Yin-Wong and Chinn, Menzie David, Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in Gnp (November 1996). NBER Working Paper No. t0206. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=226614

Contact Information

Yin-Wong Cheung (Contact Author)
City University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance ( email )
83 Tat Chee Avenue
Kowloon
Hong Kong
University of California at Santa Cruz - Department of Economics ( email )
1156 High Street
Santa Cruz, CA 95064
United States
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics ( email )
1180 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706-1393
United States
608-262-7397 (Phone)
608-262-2033 (Fax)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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