Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=2283655
 


 



Bringing Regimes Back in – Explaining Success and Failure in the Middle East Revolts of 2011


Jack A. Goldstone


George Mason University - School of Public Policy; RANEPA (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

March 10, 2013


Abstract:     
Studies of the Arab Revolutions and Revolts of 2011 have stressed the power of popular mobilization, driven by social media and youth, and were hopeful in regard to the emergence of democracy. In fact, Islamist parties with questionable commitment to democracy, pluralism and human rights have been steering the outcomes in Egypt and Tunisia, runaway militias are creating chaos in Libya, and Syria has become mired in a horrific civil war. To understand the great variation in the trajectories and outcomes of these events, one must focus on the characteristics of regimes, both their internal structure and their place in international relations to other states. One must also recognize that these events are revolutions, not mere democratic reform movements, and that they will fit the pattern of disappointment and long drawn out change typical of the former.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 25

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Date posted: June 23, 2013  

Suggested Citation

Goldstone, Jack A., Bringing Regimes Back in – Explaining Success and Failure in the Middle East Revolts of 2011 (March 10, 2013). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2283655 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2283655

Contact Information

Jack A. Goldstone (Contact Author)
George Mason University - School of Public Policy ( email )
3401 Fairfax Drive
Arlington, VA 22201
United States

RANEPA (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration) ( email )
Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia
HOME PAGE: http://ranepa.com
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