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http://ssrn.com/abstract=228954
 
 

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Real and Financial Uncertainty and Investment Decisions


Giorgio Calcagnini


University of Urbino Carlo Bo - Faculty of Economics; Università Politecnica delle Marche - Money and Finance Research Group (Mo.Fi.R.)

Enrico Saltari


University of Rome I - Department of Public Economics


Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 22, No. 3, Summer 2000

Abstract:     
This paper aims at analyzing the role of uncertainty on investment. In our analysis, we will follow recent economic literature concerning stochastic models of irreversible investment and restrict our attention to the Italian economy. We show that theoretically, and in the presence of irreversibility, demand and interest rate uncertainty both reduce demand for capital. Our empirical results support the traditional interpretation according to which expected demand growth rates positively affect investment, while the interest rate level is negatively correlated to the accumulation rate. As for uncertainty, investment decisions in Italy are negatively affected by demand volatility, while interest rate volatility seems to play no significant role.

JEL Classification: E22

Accepted Paper Series





Not Available For Download

Date posted: September 19, 2000  

Suggested Citation

Calcagnini, Giorgio and Saltari, Enrico, Real and Financial Uncertainty and Investment Decisions. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 22, No. 3, Summer 2000. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=228954

Contact Information

Giorgio Calcagnini (Contact Author)
University of Urbino Carlo Bo - Faculty of Economics ( email )
Via Saffi 42
61029 Urbino
Italy
+39 0722 305565 (Phone)
+39 0722 305550 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.uniurb.it/calcagnini
Università Politecnica delle Marche - Money and Finance Research Group (Mo.Fi.R.) ( email )
Piazzale Martelli, 8
Ancona, 60100
Italy
HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.uniurb.it/calcagnini
Enrico Saltari
University of Rome I - Department of Public Economics ( email )
via del Castro Laurenziano, 9
Rome, RM 00161
Italy
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