Emerging Equity Markets in a Globalizing World
Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Campbell R. Harvey
Duke University - Fuqua School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Duke Innovation & Entrepreneurship Initiative
May 20, 2014
Given the dramatic globalization over the past twenty years, does it make sense to segregate global equities into “developed” and “emerging” market buckets? We argue that the answer is still yes. While correlations between developed and emerging markets have increased, the process of integration of these markets into world markets is incomplete. To some degree, this accounts for the disparity between emerging equity market capitalization in investable world equity market benchmarks versus emerging market economies in the world economy. Currently, emerging markets account for more than 30% of world GDP. However, they only account for 12.6% of world equity capitalization. This incomplete integration along with the relatively small equity market capitalization should be taken into account in portfolio allocation. Other asset classes within emerging markets (such as corporate bonds and currencies) are also viable.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 28
Keywords: Emerging markets, GDP weights, Market integration, Market segmentation, Illiquidity, Liquidity, Portfolio risk, Portfolio correlation, Market capitalization, Risk characteristics, Cross-sectional volatility, Valuation ratios, Asset class
JEL Classification: G11, G15, G18, G24, F36
Date posted: October 26, 2013 ; Last revised: May 21, 2014
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