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Population and Economic Development

Allen C. Kelley

Duke University - Department of Economics


Duke Economics Working Paper No. 00-05

Assessing the consequences of population on the pace and process of economic growth is one of the oldest themes in the literature on economics. These assessments have varied enormously over time, spanning the highly pessimistic to the outright optimistic. A systematic review of the major studies in this literature represents a useful way to organize a survey of the consequences of demographic change. Such an approach places the population debates in perspective, and it infuses a healthy dose of caution in appraising current debates. This paper assesses how the "bottom-line" appraisals of the consequences of demographic change on development have changed over time; why they have changed; what the most recent contributions to this literature are; and what major uncertainties in these assessments merit particular attention by future research.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 21

Keywords: Revisionism, Population Consequences

JEL Classification: J1, B2, N3, N31

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Date posted: August 16, 2000  

Suggested Citation

Kelley, Allen C., Population and Economic Development (undated). Duke Economics Working Paper No. 00-05. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=235743 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.235743

Contact Information

Allen C. Kelley (Contact Author)
Duke University - Department of Economics ( email )
213 Social Sciences Building
Box 90097
Durham, NC 27708-0204
United States
919-660-1825 (Phone)
919-490-8995 (Fax)
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References:  18
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