Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Public Debt and Policy Regimes
67 Pages Posted: 29 Nov 2013
There are 2 versions of this paper
Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Public Debt and Policy Regimes
Date Written: November 1, 2013
Abstract
We investigate the roles of a time-varying inflation target and monetary and fiscal policy stances on the dynamics of inflation in a DSGE model. Under an active monetary and passive fiscal policy regime, inflation closely follows the path of the inflation target and a stronger reaction of monetary policy to inflation decreases the response of inflation to non-policy shocks. In sharp contrast, under an active fiscal and passive monetary policy regime, inflation moves in an opposite direction from the inflation target and a stronger reaction of monetary policy to inflation increases the response of inflation to non-policy shocks. Moreover, a higher level of government debt leads to a greater response of inflation while a weaker response of fiscal policy to debt decreases the response of inflation to non-policy shocks. These results are due to variation in the value of public debt that leads to wealth effects on households. Finally, under a passive monetary and passive fiscal policy regime, both monetary and fiscal policy parameters matter for inflation dynamics, but because of equilibrium indeterminacy, theory provides no clear answer on the overall behavior of inflation. We characterize these results analytically in a simple model and numerically in a quantitative model.
Keywords: Time-varying inflation target, Inflation response, Public debt, Monetary and fiscal policy regimes, Monetary and fiscal policy stances, DSGE model
JEL Classification: E31, E52, E63
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
By Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, ...
-
Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
By Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, ...
-
An Estimated Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Optimal Monetary Policy with Staggered Wage and Price Contracts
By Christopher J. Erceg, Dale W. Henderson, ...
-
Shocks and Frictions in Us Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Shocks and Frictions in U.S. Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach
By Frank Smets and Rafael Wouters
-
Resuscitating Real Business Cycles
By Robert G. King and Sergio T. Rebelo
-
Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?
By Jean Boivin and Marc P. Giannoni