The Baby Boom, the Baby Bust, and the Housing Market
N. Gregory Mankiw
Harvard University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
David N. Weil
Brown University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
NBER Working Paper No. w2794
This paper examines the impact of major demographic changes on the housing market in the United States. The entry of the Baby Boom generation into its house-buying years is found to be the major cause of the increase in real housing prices in the l97Os. Since the Baby Bust generation is now entering its house-buying years, housing demand will grow more slowly in the 1990s than in any time in the past forty years. If the historical relation between housing demand and housing prices continues into the future, real housing prices will fall substantially over the next two decades.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 44
Date posted: January 14, 2001
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