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Testing For Output Convergence: A Re-Examination
Antonio I. Garcia PascualInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) - Western Hemisphere Department; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) Yin-Wong CheungCity University of Hong Kong - Department of Economics & Finance; University of California at Santa Cruz - Department of Economics July 2000 CESifo Working Paper Series No. 319 Abstract: This paper investigates output convergence for the G7 countries using multivariate time series techniques. We consider both the null hypotheses of no convergence and convergence. It is shown that inferences on output convergence depend on which one of the two null hypotheses is considered. Further, the no convergence results reported in previous studies using the time series definition may be attributed to the low power of the test procedures being used. Our results also highlight some potential problems on interpreting results from some typical multivariate unit root and stationarity tests.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 31 Keywords: Output convergence, multivariate test, unit root test, stationarity test JEL Classification: O40, C32 working papers seriesDate posted: February 19, 2001Suggested CitationContact Information
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