Systemic Risk -- Identification, Assessment and Monitoring based on Eigenvector Centrality Analysis of Thai Interbank Connectivity Matrices

12 Pages Posted: 5 Jan 2016

See all articles by Poomjai Nacaskul, Ph.D.

Poomjai Nacaskul, Ph.D.

Chulalongkorn School of Integrated Innovation

Worawut Sabborriboon

Financial Institutions Strategy Department, Bank of Thailand; Financial Institutions Strategy Department, Bank of Thailand

Date Written: December 27, 2011

Abstract

This paper presents a coherent framework for identifying Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFI) and assessing the overall banking system's vulnerability to systemic phenomena from the viewpoint of banking system as a complex network of interconnected nodes generating pair-wise financial activities. The proposed parameter-free methodology comprises two parts, Systemic Importance Analysis (SIA), which rates and ranks individual financial institutions relative to one another in terms of systemic influence each exerts over the banking system overall, and Systemic Vulnerability Analysis (SVA), which tracks the banking system over time in terms of how the very pattern of connectivities (inter-connectedness) somehow enable 'small players' to exert 'large leverage' on system (in)stability. SIA & SVA both utilizes Bonacich's Eigenvector Centrality measure, essentially the principal eigenvector associated with a matrix of pair-wise connection strengths. Empirical results presented herewith are based on actual records (2009-) of interbank transactions between financial instiutions operating in Thailand (actual bank names masked by aliases).

Keywords: Network Model, Systemic Risk, Risk-Based Supervision, Macroprudential Surveillance, Eigenvector Centrality, Entropy Measure

JEL Classification: C69, E58, G21, G28, N25

Suggested Citation

Nacaskul, Poomjai and Sabborriboon, Worawut and Sabborriboon, Worawut, Systemic Risk -- Identification, Assessment and Monitoring based on Eigenvector Centrality Analysis of Thai Interbank Connectivity Matrices (December 27, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2710476 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2710476

Poomjai Nacaskul (Contact Author)

Chulalongkorn School of Integrated Innovation ( email )

Bangkok 10330
Thailand

HOME PAGE: http://scii.chula.ac.th

Worawut Sabborriboon

Financial Institutions Strategy Department, Bank of Thailand ( email )

273 Samsen Road
Bangkhunphrom, Bangkok 10200, 10200
Thailand

Financial Institutions Strategy Department, Bank of Thailand ( email )

273 Samsen Road
Bangkhunprom, Bangkok 10200
United States

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