Local Governments’ Indebtedness and its Impact on Real Estate Prices

33 Pages Posted: 5 Apr 2016

See all articles by Martin Micheli

Martin Micheli

Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI-Essen)

Date Written: April 4, 2016

Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the causal effect of public debt on real estate prices and rental prices. We identify shocks to investment credits of self-governed cities in Germany and control for potential benefits such as an increased supply of public goods, which might come in hand with increased indebtedness. Using spatial variation across self-governed cities allows us to estimate this effect. We find that shocks to public debt have a significant negative effect on apartment prices. Rental prices, on the other hand, do not seem to be affected by public debt. Tenants care more about the current and less about the future tax burden.

Keywords: Real estate prices; local government debt

JEL Classification: R30, R51

Suggested Citation

Micheli, Martin, Local Governments’ Indebtedness and its Impact on Real Estate Prices (April 4, 2016). Ruhr Economic Paper No. 605, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2758623 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2758623

Martin Micheli (Contact Author)

Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI-Essen) ( email )

Hohenzollernstr. 1-3
Essen, 45128
Germany

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