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Evidence on the Speed of Convergence to Market Efficiency

Tarun Chordia
Emory University - Department of Finance

Richard Roll
University of California, Los Angeles - Finance Area

Avanidhar Subrahmanyam
University of California, Los Angeles - Finance Area


November 3, 2003

UCLA Working Paper

Abstract:     
Daily returns for stocks listed on the New York Exchange (NYSE) are not serially dependent. In contrast, order imbalances on the same stocks are highly persistent from day to day. These two empirical facts can be reconciled if sophisticated investors react to order imbalances within the trading day by engaging in countervailing trades sufficient to remove serial dependence over the daily horizon. How long does this actually take? The pattern of intra-day serial dependence, over intervals ranging from five minutes to one hour, reveals traces of efficiency-creating actions. For the actively-traded NYSE stocks in our sample, it takes longer than five minutes for astute investors to begin such activities. By thirty minutes, they are well along on their daily quest.

JEL Classifications: G20, G21

Working Paper Series

Date posted: September 09, 2001 ; Last revised: October 08, 2004

Suggested Citation

Chordia, Tarun, Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar and Roll, Richard W., Evidence on the Speed of Convergence to Market Efficiency (November 3, 2003). UCLA Working Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=282408 or doi:10.2139/ssrn.282408


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Contact Information

Tarun Chordia (Contact Author)
Emory University - Department of Finance ( email )
Atlanta, GA 30322-2710
United States
404-727-1620 (Phone)
404-727-5238 (Fax)
Richard W. Roll
University of California, Los Angeles - Finance Area ( email )
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481
United States
310-825-6118 (Phone)
310-206-8404 (Fax)
Avanidhar Subrahmanyam
University of California, Los Angeles - Finance Area ( email )
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481
United States
310-825-5355 (Phone)
310-206-5455 (Fax)
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