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Core Inflation in the Euro Area

Fabio C. Bagliano
Department of Economics and Public Finance

Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics

Claudio Morana
University of Piemonte Orientale; International Centre for Economic Research (ICER)



Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9, pp. 353-357, 2002

Abstract:     
Using a common trends model, we estimate a forward-looking core inflation measure for the Euro area based on long-run relations among major macroeconomic variables, bearing the interpretation of long-run inflation forecast. The proposed measure may be particularly suitable for the two-pillar monetary policy strategy of the ECB which focuses on medium-term inflation prospects.

Keywords: Core inflation, common trend, European Central Bank, monetary policy

JEL Classifications: C32, E31, E52

Accepted Paper Series

Date posted: December 18, 2001 ; Last revised: October 18, 2005

Suggested Citation

Bagliano, Fabio C., Golinelli, Roberto and Morana, Claudio, Core Inflation in the Euro Area. Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9, pp. 353-357, 2002. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=294155


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Contact Information

Fabio C. Bagliano (Contact Author)
Department of Economics and Public Finance ( email )
C. so Unione Sovietica, 218 Bis
10134 Torino 13820-4020
Italy
+39 011 670 6084 (Phone)
+39 011 670 6062 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://web.econ.unito.it/bagliano
Roberto Golinelli
University of Bologna - Department of Economics ( email )
Strada Maggiore 45
40125 Bologna 40125
Italy
+39 051 209 2638 (Phone)
+39 051 209 2664 (Fax)
Claudio Morana
University of Piemonte Orientale ( email )
Via Perrone 18
28100 Novara Italy
+39 0321 375323 (Phone)
+39 0321 375305 (Fax)
International Centre for Economic Research (ICER)
Villa Gualino
Viale Settimio Severo, 63
10133 Torino Italy
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