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Capital Structure and Stock ReturnsIvo WelchUniversity of California, Los Angeles (UCLA); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) June 16, 2003 Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-03; EFMA 2002 London Meetings Abstract: U.S. corporations do not use their debt and equity issuing and repurchasing activities to counteract the mechanistic effects of stock returns on their debt equity ratios. Thus, over 1-5 year horizons, stock returns can explain about 40% of debt ratio dynamics. Although corporate (net) issuing activity is lively, and although it can explain the remaining 60% of debt ratio dynamics (long-term debt issuing activity being most capital structure relevant), corporate issuing motives remain largely a mystery. When stock returns are accounted for, taxes, bankruptcy costs, and many other proxies used in the literature, play at best a very modest role in explaining capital structure.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 35 JEL Classification: G24 working papers seriesDate posted: January 25, 2002Suggested CitationContact Information
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