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Exchange Rate Pass-through to Consumer Prices: A European Perspective


Felix P. Hüfner


Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD)

Michael Schröder


Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) - International Finance and Financial Management

March 2002

ZEW Working Paper No. 02-20

Abstract:     
We study the pass-through of exchange rate changes to consumer prices for the euro area by estimating vector error correction models for Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain. Using the weights of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) we compute a weighted average of the country results for the euro area. We find that in response to a ten percent depreciation of the euro nominal effective exchange rate index, the HICP tends to increase by 0,4 percent after 12 months. The total effect amounts to 0,8 percent and the adjustment of consumer prices is completed after three years.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 31

Keywords: pass-through, inflation, exchange rate, euro area

JEL Classification: E31, F31, F41

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Date posted: March 28, 2002  

Suggested Citation

Hüfner, Felix P. and Schröder, Michael, Exchange Rate Pass-through to Consumer Prices: A European Perspective (March 2002). ZEW Working Paper No. 02-20. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=304939 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.304939

Contact Information

Felix P. Hüfner
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) ( email )
2 rue Andre Pascal
Paris Cedex 16, 75775
France
Michael Schröder (Contact Author)
Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) - International Finance and Financial Management ( email )
L 7,1
P.O. Box 10 34 43
D-68034 Mannheim
Germany
+49 621 1235 140 (Phone)
+49 621 1235 223 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.zew.de/en/mitarbeiter/mitarbeiter.php3?action=mita&kurz=msc
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