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Strategic Experimentation: The Case of Poisson Bandits


Martin Cripps


University College London - Department of Economics; Washington University in Saint Louis - John M. Olin Business School

Godfrey Keller


University of Oxford - Department of Economics

Sven Rady


University of Bonn; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

May 2002

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 737

Abstract:     
This paper studies a game of strategic experimentation in which the players have access to two-armed bandits where the risky arm distributes lump-sum payoffs according to a Poisson process with unknown intensity. Because of free-riding, there is an inefficiently low level of experimentation in any equilibrium where the players use stationary Markovian strategies. We characterize the unique symmetric Markovian equilibrium of the game, which is in mixed strategies. A variety of asymmetric pure-strategy equilibria is then constructed for the special case where there are two players and the arrival of the first lump-sum fully reveals the quality of the risky arm. Equilibria where players switch finitely often between the roles of experimenter and free-rider all lead to the same pattern of information acquisition; the efficiency of these equilibria depends on the way players share the burden of experimentation among them. We show that at least for relatively pessimistic beliefs, even the worst asymmetric equilibrium is more efficient than the symmetric one. In equilibria where players switch roles infinitely often they can acquire an approximately efficient amount of information, but the rate at which it is acquired still remains inefficient.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 37

Keywords: Strategic Experimentation, Two-armed Bandit, Poisson Process, Bayesian Learning, Markov Perfect Equilibrium, Public Goods

JEL Classification: C73, D83, H41, O32

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Date posted: September 19, 2002  

Suggested Citation

Cripps, Martin, Keller, Godfrey and Rady, Sven , Strategic Experimentation: The Case of Poisson Bandits (May 2002). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 737. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=318778

Contact Information

Martin Cripps
University College London - Department of Economics ( email )
Gower Street
London
London, WC1E 6BT
United Kingdom
Washington University in Saint Louis - John M. Olin Business School ( email )
One Brookings Drive
Campus Box 1133
St. Louis, MO 63130-4899
United States
314-935-4580 (Phone)
314-935-6359 (Fax)
Godfrey Keller
University of Oxford - Department of Economics ( email )
Manor Road Building
Manor Road
Oxford, OX1 3BJ
United Kingdom
+44 20 1865 281173 (Phone)
Sven Rady (Contact Author)
University of Bonn ( email )
Regina-Pacis-Weg 3
Postfach 2220
Bonn, D-53012
Germany
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)
Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany
HOME PAGE: http://www.CESifo.de
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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