Free to Flow? New Results on Capital Mobility Amongst the Developed Countries
Rita Madarassy Akin
University of California, Santa Cruz
Menzie David Chinn
University of Wisconsin, Madison - Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs and Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
UC Santa Cruz Center for International Economics Working Paper No. 02-20
This paper evaluates the evidence for uncovered and real interest parity at the long horizons for the non-G7 economies. We examine the behavior of exchange rates and interest differentials for bonds with 5-year maturity. Although there are substantial differences in the results among countries, the majority of the countries' interest differentials have correctly signed coefficients, which contrasts strongly with previous studies and provide empirical support for market integration. Similarly, test of real interest parity indicate a higher degree of equalization. In summary, we find greater evidence of capital and goods market integration than has been found using short term data, indicating that capital market integration has proceeded further even among the smaller developed economies.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 27
Keywords: capital mobility, uncovered interest parity, real interest parity
JEL Classification: F21, F31, F42working papers series
Date posted: February 24, 2003
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