The Financial Accelerator: Evidence from International Housing Markets
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Crocker H. Liu
Arizona State University
Cornell University; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
October 18, 2005
AFA 2007 Chicago Meetings Paper
This paper shows novel evidence on the mechanism through which financial constraints amplify fluctuations in asset prices and credit. It does so using contractual features of housing finance. Among agents whose housing demand is constrained by the availability of collateral, those who can borrow against a larger fraction of their housing value (achieve a higher loan-to-value, or LTV, ratio) have more procyclical debt capacity. This procyclicality underlies the financial accelerator mechanism described by Stein (1995) and Bernanke et al. (1996). Our study uses international variation in maximum LTV ratios over three decades to test whether (a) housing prices and (b) demand for new mortgage borrowings are more sensitive to income shocks in countries where households can achieve higher LTV ratios. The results we obtain are consistent with the dynamics of a collateral-based financial accelerator in housing markets.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 32
Keywords: financial accelerator, housing prices, collateral constraint, income constraint, credit multiplier
JEL Classification: E44, E32, G15, G21, R21, R31
Date posted: March 18, 2006
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