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Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area. The End of the Feldstein Horioka Puzzle?
Olivier J. Blanchard Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Francesco Giavazzi University of Bocconi - Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research (IGIER); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) September 17, 2002 MIT Department of Economics Working Paper No. 03-05 Abstract: Both Portugal and Greece have been running large current account deficits, and these are expected to continue in the future. Yet, financial markets do not appear to be worried. Starting from this observation, we document that Portugal and Greece are in fact representative of a broader evolution: Increasing goods and financial market integration is leading to an increasing decoupling of saving and investment within the European Union, and even more so within the Euro area. In particular, it is allowing poorer countries to invest more, save less, and run larger current account deficits. The converse holds for the richer countries.
Keywords: Current Account, Europe, Euro, Feldstein Horioka Puzzle, Saving, Investment, Capital Market Integration, Product Market Integration JEL Classifications: F32, F36, F41, F43 Working Paper SeriesDate posted: January 23, 2003 ; Last revised: February 27, 2003Suggested CitationContact Information
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