The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Central and Eastern Europe: Myth or Reality?
Posted: 21 May 2003
There are 2 versions of this paper
The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Central and Eastern Europe: Myth or Reality?
Abstract
This paper studies the Balassa-Samuelson effect in nine Central and East European countries. Using panel cointegration techniques, we find that productivity growth in the open sector leads to inflation in non-tradable goods. Because of the low share of non-tradables and the high share of food items in addition to regulated prices, the consumer price index is misleading when analyzing the Balassa-Samuelson effect. Consequently, the appreciation of the real exchange rate, which has been established as a stylized fact over the last decade, is caused only partly by the Balassa-Samuelson effect. We identify a trend increase in the prices of tradable goods as a contributing explanation.
Keywords: Balassa-Samuelson effect, Panel cointegration, Transition economies, EMU
JEL Classification: E31, F31, C15
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation