Analysis of the Determinants of Fertility Decline in the Czech Republic
University of Goettingen (Gottingen) - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
University of Wuerzburg; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
IZA Discussion Paper No. 870
In this paper we study the decline in total fertility rates in the Czech Republic during the transition process. To identify transition-specific features of this decline we use a multiperiod model of birth process and apply it to the family and fertility survey of 1998. In a standard duration analysis setting the model allows for time-dependence of information sets, on which the decision about the next birth is made. It also enables to estimate probabilities of early exit from childbearing. In this work we find that the negative effect of transition on TFR is mostly translated through a sharply increased negative influence of higher education on fertility, and through the apparent lack of adequate childcare facilities.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 31
Keywords: fertility decline, transition countries, semiparametric estimation
JEL Classification: J00, J13working papers series
Date posted: October 7, 2003
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