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Trade Equations for the Brazilian Economy: 1955/1995


Alexandre Samy de Castro


IPEA - Institute of Applied Economic Research

Marco A. F. H. Cavalcanti


Institute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA)
March 1997


Abstract:     
This paper estimates export and import equations for Brazil using annual data from 1955 to 1995. The econometric procedures account for the nonstationarity of the data, applying cointegration techniques and using an error-correction model framework. The validity of treating conditioning variables as "exogenous" is investigated through proper exogeneity tests. The paper also presents forecasts of export and import growth rates for the period 1996/2000, under alternative scenarios.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 46

JEL Classification: C32, C51, C52, C53, F17, F47

working papers series


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Date posted: January 17, 1998  

Suggested Citation

Castro, Alexandre Samy de and Cavalcanti, Marco A. F. H., Trade Equations for the Brazilian Economy: 1955/1995 (March 1997). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=49209 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.49209

Contact Information

Alexandre Samy de Castro (Contact Author)
IPEA - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )
Av. Pres. Antonio Carlos , 51 - 17 andar
Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 20020-010
Brazil
+55 21 3515 8679 (Phone)
Marco Antonio Freitas de Hollanda Cavalcanti
Institute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA) ( email )
Av. Presidente Antonio Carlos 51
17.andar
RJ 20020-010 Rio de Janeiro
Brazil
+55 21 3804-8120 (Phone)
+55 21 3804-8115/8920 (Fax)
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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