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On the Performance of Private Equity Investments: Does Market Timing Matter?


Daniel Schmidt


University of Frankfurt, CEPRES Center of Private Equity Research

Eric Nowak


University of Lugano; Swiss Finance Institute

Alexander Knigge


Lufthansa Consulting

March 2004

EFMA 2004 Basel Meetings Paper

Abstract:     
This paper investigates the market timing abilities of private equity fund managers using a unique set of detailed cash-flow data. We show that investment timing has an impact on the performance of venture capital funds. Surprisingly, divestment timing has no such impact on returns. For later-staged buyout funds our analysis reveals that fund performance is not driven by market timing but is significantly related to the experience of the individual fund manager. Thus, for successful investing into more mature portfolio companies, getting access to better deal flow and managing the investment affect the resulting success of these investments. Our results complement other recent findings on the performance of private equity funds.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 34

Keywords: Private equity, Venture capital, Fund management, Market timing

JEL Classification: G23, G11

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Date posted: April 22, 2004  

Suggested Citation

Schmidt, Daniel, Nowak, Eric and Knigge, Alexander, On the Performance of Private Equity Investments: Does Market Timing Matter? (March 2004). EFMA 2004 Basel Meetings Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=492982 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.492982

Contact Information

Daniel Schmidt
University of Frankfurt, CEPRES Center of Private Equity Research ( email )
Grüneburgplatz 1
Frankfurt am Main, 60323
Germany
Eric Nowak (Contact Author)
University of Lugano ( email )
Via Buffi 13
CH-6900 Lugano
Switzerland
+41-91-9124-637 (secr. -712) (Phone)
+41-91-9124-647 (Fax)
Swiss Finance Institute ( email )
c/o University of Geneve
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
1211 Geneva, CH-6900
Switzerland

Alexander Knigge
Lufthansa Consulting ( email )
Cologne
Germany
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