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The Real Effects of Financial Integration


Jean M. Imbs


Paris School of Economics (PSE); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Swiss Finance Institute

February 2004


Abstract:     
Fluctuations in GDP are more synchronized internationally than fluctuations in Consumption, and they remain so even between financially integrated economies, where the ranking should in theory be the reverse. This paper shows this happens because correlations in GDP fluctuations rise with financial integration. Finance serves to increase international correlations in both consumption and GDP fluctuations, which explains the persistent gap between the two in the data. The positive association between financial integration and GDP correlation constitutes a puzzle, as theory suggests a negative relation if anything. Nevertheless, it prevails in the data even after the effects of finance on trade and specialization are accounted for.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 48

Keywords: Financial Integration, International Business Cycles, Risk Sharing, Quantity Puzzle

JEL Classification: F30, F41, E44

working papers series


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Date posted: February 26, 2004  

Suggested Citation

Imbs, Jean M., The Real Effects of Financial Integration (February 2004). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=506363 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.506363

Contact Information

Jean M. Imbs (Contact Author)
Paris School of Economics (PSE) ( email )
48 Boulevard Jourdan
Paris, 75014 75014
France
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
Swiss Finance Institute ( email )
c/o University of Geneve
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
1211 Geneva, CH-6900
Switzerland
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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