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Cross-Sectional Learning and Short-Run Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance


Marno Verbeek


Erasmus University - Rotterdam School of Management; Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM); Netspar

Joop Huij


Erasmus University - Rotterdam School of Management; Robeco Quantitative Strategies; Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)

October 10, 2006

ERIM Research Paper Series

Abstract:     
Using monthly return data of more than 6,400 US equity mutual funds we investigate short-run performance persistence over the period 1984-2003. We sort funds into rank portfolios based on past performance, and evaluate the portfolios' out-of-sample performance. To cope with short ranking periods, we employ an empirical Bayes approach to measure past performance more efficiently. Our main finding is that when funds are sorted into decile portfolios based on 12-month ranking periods, the top decile of funds earns a statistically significant, abnormal return of 0.26 percent per month. This effect persists beyond load fees, and is mainly concentrated in relatively young, small cap/growth funds.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 40

Keywords: Mutual funds, performance persistence, Bayesian analysis

JEL Classification: G11, G23, C11

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Date posted: July 23, 2004  

Suggested Citation

Verbeek, Marno and Huij, Joop, Cross-Sectional Learning and Short-Run Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (October 10, 2006). ERIM Research Paper Series. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=567701 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.567701

Contact Information

Marno Verbeek
Erasmus University - Rotterdam School of Management ( email )
P.O. Box 1738
Room T09-53
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands
+31 10 408 2790 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.rsm.nl/mverbeek
Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)
P.O. Box 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands
Netspar
P.O. Box 90153
Tilburg, 5000 LE
Netherlands
Joop Huij (Contact Author)
Erasmus University - Rotterdam School of Management ( email )
P.O. Box 1738
Rotterdam, 3000 DR
Netherlands
HOME PAGE: http://www.rsm.nl/jhuij
Robeco Quantitative Strategies
Rotterdam, 3011 AG
Netherlands
HOME PAGE: http://www.robeco.com/quant
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)
P.O. Box 1738
Rotterdam, 3000 DR
Netherlands
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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