Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=575561
 
 

References (48)



 
 

Citations (82)



 


 



Was There a Nasdaq Bubble in the Late 1990s?


Lubos Pastor


University of Chicago - Booth School of Business; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Pietro Veronesi


University of Chicago - Booth School of Business; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

July 2004

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4485

Abstract:     
Not necessarily. The fundamental value of a firm increases with uncertainty about average future profitability, and this uncertainty was unusually high in the late 1990s. We calibrate a stock valuation model that includes this uncertainty, and show that the uncertainty needed to match the observed Nasdaq valuations at their peak is high but plausible. The high uncertainty might also explain the unusually high return volatility of Nasdaq stocks in the late 1990s. Uncertainty has the biggest effect on stock prices when the equity premium is low.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 53

Keywords: Bubble, valuation, uncertainty

JEL Classification: G12

working papers series


Date posted: August 12, 2004  

Suggested Citation

Pastor, Lubos and Veronesi, Pietro, Was There a Nasdaq Bubble in the Late 1990s? (July 2004). CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4485. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=575561

Contact Information

Lubos Pastor (Contact Author)
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )
5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States
773-834-4080 (Phone)
773-702-0458 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.ChicagoGSB.edu/fac/lubos.pastor/
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Pietro Veronesi
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )
5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States
773-702-6348 (Phone)
773-702-0458 (Fax)
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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