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Explaining Returns with Loss Aversion

Tyler Shumway
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor


November 20, 1997


Abstract:     
I develop and test an equilibrium asset pricing model based on loss averse investors. The model specifies a pricing kernel that is a nonmonotonic function of the market return. It also implies that investors demand a higher risk premium for risk associated with negative market returns than for positive market returns. The model assumes rational expectations and is consistent with no-arbitrage pricing. Estimates of the model's parameters are similar to values reported elsewhere. As the loss aversion literature predicts, the accuracy of the model depends on the frequency with which data is observed. Consistent with Benartzi and Thaler (1995), the model explains annual returns better than competing models, but it does not explain monthly, quarterly, or half-year returns. The model fits both returns that reflect the equity premium and stock returns alone.

JEL Classifications: G12

Working Paper Series

Date posted: February 10, 1998 ; Last revised: February 10, 1998

Suggested Citation

Shumway, Tyler, Explaining Returns with Loss Aversion (November 20, 1997). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=58442 or doi:10.2139/ssrn.58442


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Contact Information

Tyler Shumway (Contact Author)
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )
Ross School of Business
701 Tappan Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
734-763-4129 (Phone)
734-936-0274 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.umich.edu/~shumway
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References: 18
Citations: 11

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