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Taking Positive Interest Rates Seriously
Enlin Pan affiliation not provided to SSRN Liuren Wu City University of New York, CUNY Baruch College - Zicklin School of Business October 19, 2003 Abstract: We present a dynamic term structure model in which interest rates of all maturities are bounded from below at zero. Positivity and continuity, combined with no arbitrage, result in only one functional form for the term structure with three sources of risk. One dynamic factor controls the level of the interest rate and follows a special two-parameter square-root process under the risk-neutral measure. The two parameters of the process determine the other two sources of risk and act as two static factors. This model has no other parameters to estimate and hence bears no other risks.
Keywords: Term structure, consistency, positivity, quadratic forms JEL Classifications: E43, G12, G13 Working Paper SeriesDate posted: September 02, 2004 ; Last revised: September 24, 2004Suggested CitationContact Information
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