Pricing in Electricity Markets: A Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality
University College London
Marcelo G. Figueroa
University of London - Birkbeck College
Applied Mathematical Finance, Vol. 12, No. 4, December 2005
In this paper we present a mean-reverting jump diffusion model for the electricity spot price. We obtain a closed-form solution for forward contracts and calibrate it to market data from England and Wales. Finally, based on the calibrated forward curve we present months, quarters, and seasons-ahead forward surfaces.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 29
Keywords: Energy derivatives, electricity, forward curve
JEL Classification: G12, G13Accepted Paper Series
Date posted: October 4, 2006
© 2014 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
This page was processed by apollo1 in 0.391 seconds