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http://ssrn.com/abstract=595185
 
 

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Contingent Reserves Management: An Applied Framework


Ricardo J. Caballero


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Stavros Panageas


University of Chicago - Booth School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

September 2004

NBER Working Paper No. w10786

Abstract:     
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face, is the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals, but these reserves are seldom sufficient and always expensive to hold. In this paper we argue that adding richer hedging instruments to the portfolios held by central banks can significantly improve the efficiency of the anti-sudden stop mechanism. We illustrate this point with a simple quantitative hedging model, where optimally used options and futures on the S&P100's implied volatility index (VIX), increases the expected reserves available during sudden stops by as much as 40 percent.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 26

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Date posted: October 5, 2004  

Suggested Citation

Caballero, Ricardo J. and Panageas, Stavros, Contingent Reserves Management: An Applied Framework (September 2004). NBER Working Paper No. w10786. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=595185

Contact Information

Ricardo J. Caballero (Contact Author)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics ( email )
50 Memorial Drive
E52-252A
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
617-253-0489 (Phone)
617-253-1330 (Fax)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
Stavros Panageas
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )
5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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