Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=643681
 
 

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Linkage Between Pre- and Post- Conflict: Exploiting Information Integration & System Dynamics


Nazli Choucri


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Political Science

Stuart Madnick


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Allen Moulton


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

Michael Siegel


Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

Hongwei (Harry) Zhu


University of Massachusetts Lowell; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT); Old Dominion University

January 2005

MIT Sloan Working Paper No. 4521-05; CISL Working Paper No. 2005-01

Abstract:     
In its Preface, The 9/11 Commission Report states: We learned that the institutions charted with protecting ... national security did not understand how grave this threat can be, and did not adjust their policies, plans, and practices to deter or defeat it (2004: xvi). Given current realities and uncertainties better preparedness can be achieved by identifying, controlling and managing the elusive linkages & situational factors that fuel hostilities. This paper focuses on new opportunities and capabilities provided by anticipatory technologies that help understand, measure and model the complex dynamics shaping and precipitating conflict in specific settings worldwide. We introduce a research initiative focusing on linking pre- and post- conflict by drawing upon the power of system dynamics, augmented by new technologies for integrated information analysis, in conjunction with the development of conceptual and computational ontologies capturing the diversity, intensity, and dynamics of the conflict domain.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 12

Keywords: national security, system dynamics, integrated information analysis, conceptual and computational ontologies

working papers series


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Date posted: January 5, 2005  

Suggested Citation

Choucri, Nazli and Madnick, Stuart and Moulton, Allen and Siegel, Michael and Zhu, Hongwei (Harry), Linkage Between Pre- and Post- Conflict: Exploiting Information Integration & System Dynamics (January 2005). MIT Sloan Working Paper No. 4521-05; CISL Working Paper No. 2005-01. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=643681 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.643681

Contact Information

Nazli Choucri
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Political Science ( email )
77 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02139
United States

Stuart E. Madnick (Contact Author)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )
E53-321
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
617-253-6671 (Phone)
617-253-3321 (Fax)
Allen Moulton
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )
Center of International Studies
Cambridge, MA 02139
United States
Michael Siegel
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )
E53-323
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
617-253-2937 (Phone)
617-258-7579 (Fax)
Hongwei Zhu
University of Massachusetts Lowell ( email )
United States
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )
Cambridge, MA 02139
United States
HOME PAGE: http://web.mit.edu/~mrzhu
Old Dominion University ( email )
Norfolk, VA 23529
United States
757-683-5175 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.odu.edu/~hzhu
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