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Dynamic Linkages Among the Emerging Middle Eastern and the United States Stock Markets


Yochanan Shachmurove


The City College of The City University of New York - Department of Economics; The University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics


International Journal of Business, Vol. 10, No. 1, 2005

Abstract:     
Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Beysian Vector Auto-Regression (BVAR) models are used to trace the dynamic linkages across daily returns of stock market indexes in the Middle East and the United States, and to investigate how a shock in one market is transmitted to other markets. The Middle East Countries are: Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, and Turkey. The dynamic linkages among these stock markets are found to be relatively small. The conclusion is that although markets are efficient, there are dynamic linkages that can be explored and exploited to benefit the diversified international investors.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 30

Keywords: Middle East, stock market Indices, Vector Auto-Regressions, Bayesian vector auto-regression, dynamic linkages, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Turkey

JEL Classification: C32, F0, G0, N2, O5

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Date posted: April 1, 2005  

Suggested Citation

Shachmurove, Yochanan, Dynamic Linkages Among the Emerging Middle Eastern and the United States Stock Markets. International Journal of Business, Vol. 10, No. 1, 2005. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=681481

Contact Information

Yochanan Shachmurove (Contact Author)
The City College of The City University of New York - Department of Economics ( email )
160 Convent Avenue
New York, NY 10031
United States
212-650-6202 (Phone)
The University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics ( email )
3718 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States
215-898-1090 (Phone)
215-573-2057 (Fax)
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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