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The Effect of Uncertainty on Investment: Some Stylized FactsJohn V. LeahyNew York University (NYU) - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Toni M. WhitedUniversity of Rochester - Simon Graduate School of Business JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT, AND BANKING, Vol 28 No 1, February 1995 Abstract: The theoretical relationship between investment and uncertainty is ambiguous. This paper briefly surveys the insights that theory has to offer and then runs a series of simple tests aimed at evaluating the empirical significance of various theoretical effects. Our results from a panel of U.S. manufacturing firms indicate a negative effect of uncertainty on investment consistent with theories of irreversible investment. We find no evidence for a positive effect via the channel of the convexity of the marginal product of capital, and we find no evidence for the presence of a CAPM-based effect of risk.
JEL Classification: E22 Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: July 25, 1998Suggested CitationContact Information
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