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Are Remittances Insurance? Evidence from Rainfall Shocks in the Philippines


Dean Yang


University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics

HwaJung Choi


University of Michigan at Ann Arbor

July 2005

Ford School of Public Policy Working Paper Series No. 05-004

Abstract:     
Do remittances sent by overseas migrants serve as insurance for recipient households? This paper examines how remittances sent by overseas migrants respond to income shocks experienced by Philippine households. Because household income and remittances are jointly determined, we exploit rainfall shocks as instrumental variables for income changes. In households with overseas migrants, we find that exogenous changes in income lead to changes in remittances of the opposite sign, consistent with an insurance motivation for remittances. In such households, we find that roughly 60% of exogenous declines in income are replaced by remittance inflows from overseas. By contrast, exogenous changes in household income have no effect on remittance receipts in households without overseas migrants.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 31

Keywords: Remittances, migration, insurance, risk, instrumental variables, rainfall, Philippines

JEL Classification: D81, F22, F32, O12, O15

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Date posted: April 21, 2005  

Suggested Citation

Yang, Dean and Choi, HwaJung, Are Remittances Insurance? Evidence from Rainfall Shocks in the Philippines (July 2005). Ford School of Public Policy Working Paper Series No. 05-004. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=703782 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.703782

Contact Information

Dean Yang (Contact Author)
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy ( email )
440 Lorch Hall
611 Tappan Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
734-764-6158 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.umich.edu/~deanyang/
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
611 Tappan Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220
United States
HwaJung Choi
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
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