Hedging House Price Risk: Portfolio Choice With Housing Futures
Frank De Jong
Tilburg University - Department of Finance
Tilburg University - Department of Finance; CentER Tilburg University
Otto Van Hemert
IMC Asset Management
July 31, 2008
We assess the economic benefits of having access to housing futures for homeowning investors, using a model for the portfolio choice between stocks, bonds of various maturity, different mortgage types, and housing futures. We compare the utility gains of housing futures with the economic benefits of two other important housing-related portfolio decisions: (i) incorporating the housing exposure in financial portfolio choice and (ii) mortgage choice. Our analysis indicates that the portfolio implications and welfare improvements of the housing futures are small. This is mainly due to the large remaining idiosyncratic house price risk which cannot be hedged using futures written on a city-level house price index.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 49
Keywords: Housing futures, portfolio choice, mortgage
JEL Classification: G11
Date posted: June 13, 2005 ; Last revised: July 31, 2008
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