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Using Surveys of Investment Intentions


Jens D.J. Larsen


Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets (London)

Rain Newton-Smith


Bank of England - Monetary Analysis

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Summer 2001

Abstract:     
Business investment is an important component of aggregate demand in the UK economy. But it is volatile and difficult to predict. Surveys of investment intentions provide a timely and useful source of information on future investment plans, and can be used to forecast changes in business investment. This article describes a model that uses surveys of investment intentions to forecast business investment, and compares its forecast performance with the business investment equation in the Bank of England's macroeconometric model.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 6

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Date posted: July 25, 2005  

Suggested Citation

Larsen, Jens D.J. and Newton-Smith, Rain, Using Surveys of Investment Intentions. Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Summer 2001. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=759624

Contact Information

Jens D.J. Larsen (Contact Author)
Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets (London) ( email )
Thames Court
One Queenhithe
London, EC4V 4DE
United Kingdom
Rain Newton-Smith
Bank of England - Monetary Analysis ( email )
Threadneedle Street
London EC2R 8AH
United Kingdom
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