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The 'Ostrich Effect': Selective Attention to Information about Investments

Niklas Karlsson
Göteborg University - Department of Psychology

George Loewenstein
Carnegie Mellon University - Department of Social and Decision Sciences

Duane J. Seppi
Carnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business


May 5, 2005


Abstract:     
We develop a model of selective attention to information and apply it to investors' decisions about whether to obtain information about the value of their portfolio. In our model investors receive information about the aggregate level of the market and then decide whether to look up the value of their personal portfolio. Doing so not only provides additional information, but also increases the psychological impact of information on utility - an impact effect - and increases the speed of a utility reference point adjustment - a reference point updating effect. The main prediction of the model is that investors will check the value of their portfolios more frequently in rising markets but will "put their heads in the sand" when markets are flat or falling. We test and find support for this prediction with three Scandinavian data sets.

Keywords: investor behavior, selective exposure, attention

JEL Classifications: G10, D84

Working Paper Series

Date posted: August 10, 2005 ; Last revised: November 16, 2005

Suggested Citation

Karlsson, Niklas, Seppi, Duane J. and Loewenstein, George F., The 'Ostrich Effect': Selective Attention to Information about Investments (May 5, 2005). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=772125


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Contact Information

Niklas Karlsson
Göteborg University - Department of Psychology ( email )
P.O. Box 500
Göteborg 40530
Sweden
George F. Loewenstein (Contact Author)
Carnegie Mellon University - Department of Social and Decision Sciences ( email )
Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
United States
412-268-8787 (Phone)
412-268-6938 (Fax)
Duane J. Seppi
Carnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business ( email )
5000 Forbes Avenue
Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
United States
412-268-2298 (Phone)
412-268-8896 (Fax)
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