Accounting for Good News and Accounting for Bad News: Some Empirical Evidence from the Czech Republic

Abstract:     
This paper is motivated by the links that continue to be forged between security pricing and accounting, building on recent findings that firms tend to be asymmetrically conservative in the timeliness of earnings recognition. The evidence is that firms in the European Union tend to recognise unrealised losses more quickly in their earnings than unrealised gains (Giner and Rees, 2001; Raonic, McLeay and Asimakopoulos, 2004), and there is evidence of even greater accounting conservatism in the US (Basu, 1997; Ball, Kothari and Robin, 2000; Givoly and Hayn, 2001). This article investigates whether the Czech market exhibits conformity with the behaviour that has been documented elsewhere by examining the earnings/returns relationship, focusing to begin with on the impact of losses on earnings response coefficients and then considering the asymmetric timeliness of income recognition in the Czech market.

The findings indicate that the Czech market is similar to more developed markets, at least in one respect: There is statistically significant evidence of different market effects of profits and losses, in that profits are more persistent than losses. However, contrary to the findings in more developed markets, there is no statistically significant evidence of earnings conservatism in the Czech market. These results are most probably due to the continuing influence of restrictive tax regulations that mitigate any tendency towards conservatism, as well as the transitional nature of the economy. A further reason is likely to be that the regulatory environment in the Czech Republic is close to the kind of stakeholder corporatism that is described by Ball et al. (2000), who show that conservatism tends to be less pronounced in such regimes where there are fewer managerial incentives to bias current earnings. In conclusion, if changes in market prices signal good news and bad news about future risky outcomes, there is no evidence of asymmetry in the Czech market in accounting for such risks.

Keywords: asymmetry, conservatism, impact of losses, emerging markets, Czech capital market

JEL Classifications: M41, M44, M47, H25

Accepted Paper Series