An Analysis of Insiders' Use of Prepaid Variable Forward Transactions
Alan D. Jagolinzer
University of Colorado - Leeds School of Business
P. Eric Yeung
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management
Steven R. Matsunaga
University of Oregon
This study examines firm performance surrounding insiders' Prepaid Variable Forward (PVF) transactions to infer insiders' information when they enter these off-market contracts. PVFs allow insiders to hedge downside risk, share performance gains, and obtain immediate large-sum cash payments for investment or consumption. On average, PVF transactions cover 30% of a sample insider's firm-specific wealth ($22 million), which is substantially larger than a typical open-market sale. PVFs systematically follow strong firm performance and precede degraded stock and earnings performance. PVFs also precede periods of negative abnormal returns relative to potential alternative investments. The documented association between PVFs and performance declines does not appear to result from the market's response to transaction disclosure, participant self-selection, or general price reversals. Thus, evidence suggests that insiders use PVFs to diversify firm-specific holdings in anticipation of performance declines.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 37
Keywords: hedge, derivative, management incentives, insider trading, forward sale
JEL Classification: G18, M41, K22working papers series
Date posted: October 1, 2005
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