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http://ssrn.com/abstract=860685
 
 

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Attention Felons: Evaluating Project Safe Neighborhoods in Chicago


Andrew V. Papachristos


Yale University - Department of Sociology

Tracey L. Meares


Yale University - Law School

Jeffrey Fagan


Columbia Law School

2007

U Chicago Law & Economics, Olin Working Paper No. 269
Columbia Public Law Research Paper No. 05-97

Abstract:     
This research uses a quasi-experimental design to evaluate the impact of Project Safe Neighborhood (PSN) initiatives on neighborhood level crime rates in Chicago. Four interventions are analyzed: (1) increased federal prosecutions for convicted felons carrying or using guns, (2) the length of sentences associated with federal prosecutions, (3) supply-side firearm policing activities, and (4) social marketing of deterrence and social norms messages through justice-style offender notification meetings. Using an individual growth curve models and propensity scores to adjust for non-random group assignment, our findings suggest that several PSN interventions are associated with greater declines of homicide in the treatment neighborhoods as compared to the control neighborhoods. The largest effect is associated with the offender notification meetings that stress individual deterrence, normative change in offender behavior, and increasing views on legitimacy and procedural justice. Possible competing hypotheses and directions for individual-level analysis are also discussed.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 75

Keywords: guns, crime, deterrence, compliance, legitimacy

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Date posted: November 30, 2005  

Suggested Citation

Papachristos, Andrew V. and Meares, Tracey L. and Fagan, Jeffrey, Attention Felons: Evaluating Project Safe Neighborhoods in Chicago (2007). U Chicago Law & Economics, Olin Working Paper No. 269; Columbia Public Law Research Paper No. 05-97. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=860685 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.860685

Contact Information

Andrew V. Papachristos
Yale University - Department of Sociology ( email )
New Haven, CT 06520
United States
HOME PAGE: http://papachristos.org
Tracey Louise Meares (Contact Author)
Yale University - Law School ( email )
P.O. Box 208215
New Haven, CT 06520-8215
United States
203-432-4074 (Phone)
203-432-4876 (Fax)
Jeffrey Fagan
Columbia Law School ( email )
435 West 116th Street
New York, NY 10025
United States
212-854-2624 (Phone)
212-854-7946 (Fax)
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