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Random Walk and Indian Equity Futures Market


Kapil Gupta


Guru Nanak Dev University

Balwinder Singh


Guru Nanak Dev University - Department of Commerce and Business Management


Indian Institute of Capital Markets 9th Capital Markets Conference Paper

Abstract:     
The present study investigates weak form of efficiency in Indian equity futures market. For this purpose, informational efficiency of the Nifty futures and 24 stock futures is examined. The Nifty and stock futures returns are found to be deviating from normal distribution. The futures prices are found to be nonstationary at levels whereas, first difference futures returns are stationary. Empirical analysis finds evidence of statistical dependence in the returns generating process. Further analysis through Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) process reveals that the Nifty and stock futures returns are not independent and shows strong dependencies.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 17

Keywords: Random walk, Indian equity markets, Futures market, weak form efficiency, Nifty futures, price behaviour in markets

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Date posted: January 10, 2006  

Suggested Citation

Gupta, Kapil and Singh, Balwinder, Random Walk and Indian Equity Futures Market. Indian Institute of Capital Markets 9th Capital Markets Conference Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=874913 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.874913

Contact Information

Kapil Gupta (Contact Author)
Guru Nanak Dev University ( email )
Amritsar, Punjab 143005
India
Balwinder Singh
Guru Nanak Dev University - Department of Commerce and Business Management ( email )
Department of Commerce and Business Management
Guru Nanak Dev University
Amritsar, Punjab 143005
India
09417272232 (Phone)
0183-2255564 (Fax)
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