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The Wage-Price Spiral
Industrial Country Evidence and Implications

Magda Kandil
International Monetary Fund (IMF)


August 2003

IMF Working Paper No. 03/164

Abstract:     
Using quarterly time-series data for a sample of twelve industrial countries, the paper investigates the dynamics of nominal wage and price adjustments in the face of aggregate demand shocks. The evidence illustrates patterns of the wage-price spiral and accompanying fluctuations. During economic expansions, the overlap of nominal adjustments in labor and product markets prolongs output expansion while maintaining or increasing the standard of living. In contrast, structural and institutional settings appear to have moderated the severity of the effects of contractionary demand shocks on real output growth and the standard of living in the variety of countries under investigation.

Keywords: Wage-Price Spiral Asymmetric Fluctuations Output Effect Standard of Living

JEL Classifications: E31 E32 E24

Working Paper Series

Date posted: February 02, 2006 ; Last revised: February 02, 2006

Suggested Citation

Kandil, Magda, The Wage-Price Spiral Industrial Country Evidence and Implications (August 2003). IMF Working Paper, Vol. , pp. 1-37, 2003. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=880188


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Contact Information

Magda Kandil (Contact Author)
International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )
700 19th Street NW
Washington, DC 20431
United States
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