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The Effect of Credit Risk Transfer on Financial Stability

Dirk G. Baur

Kuehne Logistics University; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Elisabeth Joossens

Joint Research Centre; Catholic University of Leuven (KUL)

January 2006

EUR Working Paper No. 21521 EN

This paper shows under which conditions loan securitization, e.g. collateral debt obligations (CDOs) of banks can increase the systemic risks in the banking sector. We use a simple model to show how securitization can reduce the individual banks' economic capital requirements by transferring risks to other market participants and demonstrate that systemic risks do not decrease due to the securitization. Systemic risks can increase and impact financial stability in two ways. First, if the risks are transferred to unregulated market participants there is less capital in the economy to cover these risks. And second, if the risks are transferred to other banks interbank linkages increase and therefore augment systemic risks. We analyze the differences of CDOs (true sale) and credit default swaps (synthetic) in contributing to these risks. An empirical analysis finds a significant relationship between systemic risk and CDO issuance for monthly data for the years 2000 until 2005.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 24

Keywords: CDOs, CDS, Systemic risk, financial stability, securitization, economic capital

JEL Classification: G21, G28

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Date posted: February 8, 2006  

Suggested Citation

Baur, Dirk G. and Joossens, Elisabeth, The Effect of Credit Risk Transfer on Financial Stability (January 2006). EUR Working Paper No. 21521 EN . Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=881774 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.881774

Contact Information

Dirk G. Baur (Contact Author)
Kuehne Logistics University ( email )
Großer Grasbrook 17
Hamburg, 20457
Financial Research Network (FIRN)
C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
HOME PAGE: http://www.firn.org.au

Elisabeth Joossens
Joint Research Centre ( email )
Via E. Fermi 1
I-21020 Ispra (VA)
Catholic University of Leuven (KUL) ( email )
Oude Markt 13
Leuven, Vlaams-Brabant
Feedback to SSRN

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