Does Firm Value Move Too Much to Be Justified By Subsequent Changes in Cash Flow?
Universidad Catolica de Chile
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
June 21, 2007
Journal of Financial Economics (JFE), Vol. 87, No. 1, 2008
The appropriate measure of cash flow for valuing corporate assets is net payout, which is the sum of dividends, interest, and net repurchases of equity and debt. Variation in net payout yield, the ratio of net payout to asset value, is mostly driven by movements in expected cash flow growth, instead of movements in discount rates. Net payout yield is less persistent than dividend yield and implies much smaller variation in long-horizon discount rates. Therefore, movements in the value of corporate assets can be justified by changes in expected future cash flow.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 55
Keywords: Asset valuation, Excess volatility, Payout policy, Valuation ratio
JEL Classification: G12, G32, G35
Date posted: March 4, 2006 ; Last revised: June 17, 2009
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