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Ruin in Retirement: Running Out of Money in Drawdown Programs


J. Michael Orszag


Towers Watson - Reigate (Surrey Office); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)


Watson Wyatt Technical Paper No. 2002-TR-09

Abstract:     
This paper analyses income drawdown programs where individuals choose a starting level of income and consumption growth levels so that they are certain to run out of money at some age. We compare the consumption in such a drawdown program with the level of consumption from an annuity. Our analysis shows that for individuals to prefer the drawdown program to an annuity because of higher initial income levels, they must be willing to forego all consumption for a majority of their expected period of retirement.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 10

Keywords: Retirement, Consumption, Annuity, Income Drawdown

JEL Classification: G20, G22, G23, J26, D90

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Date posted: May 10, 2006  

Suggested Citation

Orszag, J. Michael, Ruin in Retirement: Running Out of Money in Drawdown Programs. Watson Wyatt Technical Paper No. 2002-TR-09. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=892761 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.892761

Contact Information

J. Michael Orszag (Contact Author)
Towers Watson - Reigate (Surrey Office) ( email )
Watson House
London Road
Reigate, Surrey, RH2 9PQ
United Kingdom
+44 1737 241144 (Phone)
+44 1737 241496 (Fax)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany
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